Wakefield Trinity
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
Wakefield Trinity
79%
Catalans Dragons
21%
AI Match Overview
Wakefield Trinity are clear favourites here at 79%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Wakefield Trinity carry a 139-point ELO rating advantage (1532 vs 1393). Recent form favours Wakefield Trinity with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 11.9 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wakefield Trinity to Win @1.35
Winner ✓
Edge
+4.8%
Line / Spread
Wakefield Trinity +11.9 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wakefield Trinity 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wakefield Trinity | R12W R13L R14L R15W R16L older → newer | 27.2 |
Catalans Dragons | R12L R13L R14L R15L R16W | 10.0 |
Avg Conceded
20.0
Wakefield Trinity
35.2
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
7.2
Wakefield Trinity
-25.2
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
1105
Wakefield Trinity
702
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
4.2
Wakefield Trinity
1.2
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
79%
Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 12 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +11.9