Salford Red Devils
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
Salford Red Devils
45%
Warrington Wolves
55%
AI Match Overview
Warrington Wolves hold the advantage at 55% win probability, though Salford Red Devils are far from out of this at 45%. The model sees Warrington Wolves ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Warrington Wolves carry a 298-point ELO rating advantage (1468 vs 1171). Recent form favours Warrington Wolves with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 3.0 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Warrington Wolves to Win @1.01
Winner ✓
Edge
-44.5%
Line / Spread
Warrington Wolves -3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Warrington Wolves 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Salford Red Devils | R12L R13L R14L R15L R16L older → newer | 5.2 |
Warrington Wolves | R12L R13W R14L R15L R16W | 19.6 |
Avg Conceded
52.0
Salford Red Devils
25.0
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
-46.8
Salford Red Devils
-5.4
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
452
Salford Red Devils
882
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
1.0
Salford Red Devils
3.2
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
55%
Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 3 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: -3.0