Leigh Leopards
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
24%
Wigan Warriors
76%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 76%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 228-point ELO rating advantage (1780 vs 1552). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 7.5 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.35
Lost ✗
Edge
+2.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -7.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R12L R13W R14W R15W R16L older → newer | 24.0 |
Wigan Warriors | R12W R13W R14W R15L R16W | 30.4 |
Avg Conceded
26.0
Leigh Leopards
12.0
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
-2.0
Leigh Leopards
18.4
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
1159
Leigh Leopards
1291
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
6.6
Leigh Leopards
6.2
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
76%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: -7.5