Hull
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Hull
29%
St Helens
71%
AI Match Overview
St Helens are clear favourites here at 71%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull. The model sees St Helens ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. St Helens carry a 196-point ELO rating advantage (1619 vs 1423). Recent form favours St Helens with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Hull. The margin model predicts St Helens by 2.7 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.80
Winner ✓
Edge
+15.9%
Line / Spread
St Helens -2.7 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Hull | R12W R13W R14L R15W R16L older → newer | 24.4 |
St Helens | R12W R13L R14W R15W R16W | 34.4 |
Avg Conceded
12.8
Hull
9.2
St Helens
Avg Margin
11.6
Hull
25.2
St Helens
Run Metres
1060
Hull
1172
St Helens
Clean Breaks
4.8
Hull
7.4
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
71%
St Helens predicted to win by 3 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: -2.7