Castleford Tigers
Huddersfield Giants
AI Win Probability
Castleford Tigers
65%
Huddersfield Giants
35%
AI Match Overview
Castleford Tigers are clear favourites here at 65%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. Huddersfield Giants are stronger on paper across 5 of 7 key factors, including Forward Pack, Backline Quality and Halves Control, but Castleford Tigers counter with ELO Difference which tips the scales. Castleford Tigers carry a 77-point ELO rating advantage (1322 vs 1245). The margin model predicts Castleford Tigers by 7.5 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Castleford Tigers to Win @1.53
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Castleford Tigers +7.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Castleford Tigers 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Castleford Tigers | R12L R13L R14W R15L R16L older → newer | 14.4 |
Huddersfield Giants | R12L R13L R14L R15W R16L | 14.0 |
Avg Conceded
30.2
Castleford Tigers
28.8
Huddersfield Giants
Avg Margin
-15.8
Castleford Tigers
-14.8
Huddersfield Giants
Run Metres
941
Castleford Tigers
990
Huddersfield Giants
Clean Breaks
3.4
Castleford Tigers
1.8
Huddersfield Giants
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
65%
Castleford Tigers predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: +7.5