Warrington Wolves
Hull
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
35%
Hull
65%
AI Match Overview
Hull are clear favourites here at 65%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. The model sees Hull ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Recent form favours Hull with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts Hull by 4.0 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull to Win @3.04
Lost ✗
Edge
+32.0%
Line / Spread
Hull -4 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R11L R12L R13W R14L R15L older → newer | 16.8 |
Hull | R11L R12W R13W R14L R15W | 25.6 |
Avg Conceded
31.0
Warrington Wolves
11.6
Hull
Avg Margin
-14.2
Warrington Wolves
14.0
Hull
Run Metres
815
Warrington Wolves
1086
Hull
Clean Breaks
2.6
Warrington Wolves
5.2
Hull
ELO–Market Disagreement
Hull hold the ELO advantage (1456 vs 1436), but the market favours Warrington Wolves (@1.49).
The model sides with ELO, Hull predicted to win despite longer odds.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
65%
Hull predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: -4.0