St Helens
Salford Red Devils
AI Win Probability
St Helens
92%
Salford Red Devils
8%
AI Match Overview
St Helens are clear favourites here at 92%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. The model sees St Helens ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. St Helens carry a 428-point ELO rating advantage (1609 vs 1181). Recent form favours St Helens with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts St Helens by 24.8 points with a combined total of 46.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.01
Winner ✓
Edge
-7.2%
Line / Spread
St Helens +24.8 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R11W R12W R13L R14W R15W older → newer | 30.8 |
Salford Red Devils | R11L R12L R13L R14L R15L | 8.4 |
Avg Conceded
9.2
St Helens
50.0
Salford Red Devils
Avg Margin
21.6
St Helens
-41.6
Salford Red Devils
Run Metres
1103
St Helens
607
Salford Red Devils
Clean Breaks
6.8
St Helens
2.2
Salford Red Devils
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
92%
St Helens predicted to win by 25 points
Predicted total: 46 · Line: +24.8