Leeds Rhinos
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
68%
Leigh Leopards
32%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 68%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 2.5 points with a combined total of 40.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.44
Winner ✓
Edge
-1.2%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +2.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R11W R12W R13W R14W R15L older → newer | 21.8 |
Leigh Leopards | R11L R12L R13W R14W R15W | 23.6 |
Avg Conceded
14.0
Leeds Rhinos
23.6
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
7.8
Leeds Rhinos
0.0
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1427
Leeds Rhinos
1157
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
5.0
Leeds Rhinos
6.2
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
68%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 3 points
Predicted total: 40 · Line: +2.5