# Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors — Super League Round 16 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors
Sat, 28 June, 10:00 am AEST · The Jungle · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 74.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 74.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 74.4% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 10 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Wigan Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 20.0pts | Avg Score | 32.4pts |
| 28.2pts | Avg Conceded | 13.6pts |
| -8.2pts | Avg Margin | 18.8pts |
| 980.8m | Run Metres | 1280.6m |
| 3.8 | Clean Breaks | 6.8 |
| 287.0 | Tackles | 302.0 |
| 8.0 | Errors | 11.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R11 W · R12 L · R13 L · R14 W · R15 L | 20.0 |
| Wigan Warriors | R11 W · R12 W · R13 W · R14 W · R15 L | 32.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)