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Super League | Round 15

alphr.com.au

HALLIWELL JONES STADIUM • SATURDAY 21 JUNE, 10:00 AM AEST
Full Time
WAR

Warrington Wolves

1624
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

❌ Upset — model favoured Warrington Wolves at 62%

AI Win Probability

62%Warrington WolvesFavourite

Warrington Wolves

62%

Huddersfield Giants

38%

AI Match Overview

Warrington Wolves hold the advantage at 62% win probability, though Huddersfield Giants are far from out of this at 38%. The model sees Warrington Wolves ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Venue Advantage. Warrington Wolves carry a 241-point ELO rating advantage (1479 vs 1238). The margin model predicts Warrington Wolves by 12.1 points with a combined total of 46.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Warrington Wolves to Win @1.22

Lost ✗

Edge

-19.5%

Line / Spread

Warrington Wolves +12.1 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Warrington Wolves 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Warrington Wolves
R10L
R11L
R12L
R13W
R14L

older → newer

17.6
Huddersfield Giants
R10W
R11L
R12L
R13L
R14L
11.6

Avg Conceded

30.6

Warrington Wolves

28.0

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

-13.0

Warrington Wolves

-16.4

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

739

Warrington Wolves

993

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

3.4

Warrington Wolves

2.0

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Warrington Wolves lead 4-1
May 2026WAR 34 - 4 HUD
Aug 2025WAR 10 - 23 HUD
Mar 2025WAR 20 - 12 HUD
Sep 2024WAR 66 - 0 HUD
Jun 2024WAR 48 - 0 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

WAR
1479Overall1238
HUD
ELO difference: +241 in favour of Warrington Wolves

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

805Forwards999
Best: 996HUD +194Best: 1325
805Backs779
Best: 918WAR +26Best: 898
769Halves1000
Best: 769HUD +231Best: 1000
1000Hooker1394
HUD +394

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

WAR
Stat
HUD
1.0
Wins (Last 5)
1.0
17.6pts
Avg Score
11.6pts
30.6pts
Avg Conceded
28.0pts
-13.0pts
Avg Margin
-16.4pts
739.0m
Run Metres
993.0m
3.4
Clean Breaks
2.0
249.6
Tackles
288.2
6.8
Errors
9.6

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Wolves
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Giants
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Wolves
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Wolves
7
H2H History6.0%
Wolves

Model Confidence

62%

Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 12 points

Predicted total: 46 · Line: +12.1

0/4 match predictions correct