# Warrington Wolves v Huddersfield Giants — Super League Round 15 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Warrington Wolves 16 – 24 Huddersfield Giants

_Huddersfield Giants dwarf Warrington Wolves._

Half time: 6 – 14 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Warrington Wolves 62% / Huddersfield Giants 38% · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Sat, 21 June, 10:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Warrington Wolves: Marc Sneyd (24'), Toby King (67' Tipped ⚡), Jake Thewlis (74' Tipped ⚡) · Huddersfield Giants: Jacob Gagai (14' 1st Tipped ⚡), Jake Bibby (19' Tipped ⚡), Taane Milne (45'), Jacob Gagai (63' 1st Tipped ⚡)

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Warrington Wolves | 62% | Lost |
| Huddersfield Giants | 38% | Won |

Model call: **Missed** · Margin: 12.1 predicted → 8 actual · Markets hit: 0/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Warrington Wolves vs Huddersfield Giants Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 15 2025**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 25 July 2026, 07:14 pm_

Warrington Wolves 16–24 Huddersfield Giants in Super League Round 15 at Halliwell Jones Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Huddersfield Giants beat Warrington Wolves 24-16 at Halliwell Jones Stadium, and on paper that looks like a game that went down to the wire. It didn't. With 17 minutes left the score was 6-24, an 18-point margin, before two late Warrington tries dragged the final gap back to something respectable. The scoreline flatters Warrington more than the match did.

Huddersfield were in front from the 14th minute, when Jacob Gagai scored and George Flanagan's conversion made it 0-6. Jake Bibby crossed in the 19th, Flanagan added the extras again, and by the 21st minute it was 0-12. Warrington finally got on the board in the 24th through Marc Sneyd, who converted his own try to make it 6-12, but George Flanagan's penalty goal in the 31st restored the gap and Huddersfield went to the sheds up 14-6.

The second half didn't get any easier for the home side. Taane Milne scored in the 45th minute to push it to 6-18, and Jacob Gagai claimed his second in the 63rd to make it 6-24. That's where the game was effectively decided. Toby King and Jake Thewlis scored in the 67th and 74th minutes to bring the margin back to 16-24, but by then Huddersfield had already done the damage that mattered.

The stat sheet tells a strange story next to that final score. Run metres were close, 1,059 to 996 in Huddersfield's favour, and Warrington actually shaded the tackle busts, 35 to 30, while dominating offloads 12 to 2. None of that showed up on the scoreboard because Huddersfield held onto the footy and Warrington didn't. Nine errors to Huddersfield's five is the number that decided this game, not the metres gained or the busts made. Warrington had the ball skills in patches to hurt Huddersfield but kept handing back the possession that would have let them use them.

The pre-match numbers help explain why Huddersfield could get away with those Warrington bright spots. Huddersfield's halves were rated 1000 to Warrington's 769 coming in, their hooker spot 1394 to 1000, and their forwards 999 to 805. That's control through the middle and at both ends of the ruck, and it played out in a second half where Warrington couldn't find enough front-foot ball to back up their handling stats.

**Key Match Stats**

| Warrington Wolves | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 996 | Run metres | **1,059** |
| 2 | Line breaks | 2 |
| **35** | Tackle busts | 30 |
| **12** | Offloads | 2 |
| 9 | Errors | **5** |
| 3 | Penalties conceded | 3 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Warrington Wolves | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 3 |
| 2/3 | Goals | 4/5 |
| 3 | Penalties Conceded | 3 |
| 9 | Errors | 5 |

**Model Report Card**

Huddersfield Giants defied the model's 62% prediction for Warrington Wolves, a notable upset. The margin model missed here, predicting 12.1 but the actual margin was 8 points. Total score prediction of 46 was close to the actual 40, within 6 points. The model went 4/15 on this match.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (15/100) — penalties Warrington Wolves 3 · Huddersfield Giants 3.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 62.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 12 · Predicted total: 46

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

Warrington Wolves are the call at 62%, but Huddersfield Giants stay live at 38%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Warrington Wolves sit 241 ELO points clear, 1479 to 1238.

Warrington Wolves own the matchup too, leading 5 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. The margin model has Warrington Wolves by 12.1, with the two sides combining for about 46. Lean Warrington Wolves, but it shapes as a genuine contest.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Warrington Wolves | Stat | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 17.6pts | Avg Score | 11.6pts |
| 30.6pts | Avg Conceded | 28.0pts |
| -13.0pts | Avg Margin | -16.4pts |
| 739.0m | Run Metres | 993.0m |
| 3.4 | Clean Breaks | 2.0 |
| 249.6 | Tackles | 288.2 |
| 6.8 | Errors | 9.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Warrington Wolves | R10 L · R11 L · R12 L · R13 W · R14 L | 17.6 |
| Huddersfield Giants | R10 W · R11 L · R12 L · R13 L · R14 L | 11.6 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Warrington Wolves lead 4-1

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R24 | Warrington Wolves | 34 – 24 | Huddersfield Giants | Warrington Wolves 52% ✓ |
| 2026 | R10 | Huddersfield Giants | 4 – 34 | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants 65% ✗ |
| 2025 | R23 | Huddersfield Giants | 23 – 10 | Warrington Wolves | not priced |
| 2025 | R1 | Huddersfield Giants | 12 – 20 | Warrington Wolves | not priced |
| 2024 | R26 | Huddersfield Giants | 0 – 66 | Warrington Wolves | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in 1 of the last 2 decided meetings it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Warrington Wolves' best path is the left edge: Super League's 5th-ranked left edge attack (1.14 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 11th there (1.43 conceded/game). Key man: Ashton, 9 tries in that channel this season.
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the middle: Super League's 8th-ranked middle attack (0.93 tries/game) runs at a Warrington Wolves defence ranked 9th there (1.79 conceded/game). Key man: Flanagan, 4 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 1.14/g (att 5th) · concedes 1.21/g (def 8th) | 0.36/g (att 10th (weak)) · concedes 1.43/g (def 11th (weak)) |
| Middle | 0.57/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 1.79/g (def 9th (weak)) | 0.93/g (att 8th) · concedes 2.5/g (def 11th (weak)) |
| Right | 0.93/g (att 7th) · concedes 1.07/g (def 10th (weak)) | 0.36/g (att 9th (weak)) · concedes 0.86/g (def 8th) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 9th (weak) | 9th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 9th (weak) | 11th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 3 · 9 | 3 · 15 |
| Try Assists | 1.1/g | 0.9/g |
| Run Metres | 95m/g | 89m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 2.8/g | 3.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.5/g | 0.4/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 91.3% | 89% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 4th (strong) | 11th (weak) |
| Defence rank | 7th | 10th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 29 · 26 | 10 · 34 |
| Try Assists | 0.6/g | 0.3/g |
| Run Metres | 275m/g | 343m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 7.8/g | 9/g |
| Line Breaks | 1.7/g | 0.8/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 80.1% | 79.2% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 11th (weak) | 8th |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 9th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 3 · 13 | 5 · 10 |
| Try Assists | 0.1/g | 0/g |
| Run Metres | 251m/g | 173m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 4.9/g | 5.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.4/g | 0.5/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 94.3% | 92.8% |

**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Wingers 1.21/g (lg 0.88) +38% · Five-Eighths 0.24/g (lg 0.18) +33% · Centres 0.49/g (lg 0.38) +29%
**Who scores on Warrington Wolves** — 2nd Rows 0.32/g (lg 0.25) +28% · Halfbacks 0.18/g (lg 0.15) +20% · Props 0.14/g (lg 0.13) +8%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at Halliwell Jones Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Warrington Wolves** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Thewlis | FB | 5 in 12g | 5/10g (0·1·0·1·0·0·0·1·1·1) | 6/10g | 22/43g | 38% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.17 AI 49% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $18.45 AI 13% ✗ Not first | — |
| 2 | Jake Thewlis | WG | 4 in 7g | 4/8g (0·1·0·0·2·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 2/4g | 38% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.14 AI 50% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $18.24 AI 13% ✗ Not first | 🏉 74' |
| 3 | Connor Wrench | CE | 1 in 3g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·1·1·0·0) | 2/5g | 5/20g | 32% | — | — |
| 4 | Rodrick Tai | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 5 | Toby King | WG | 4 in 7g | 6/10g (0·2·0·1·1·0·0·1·1·0) | 6/13g | 17/36g | 48% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.21 AI 48% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $18.74 AI 13% ✗ Not first | 🏉 67' |
| 6 | Marc Sneyd | 5/8 | 0 in 11g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 4/23g | 2/9g | 6% | — | 🏉 24' |
| 7 | George Williams | HB | 2 in 8g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0) | 5/14g | 12/36g | 32% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.39 AI 45% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $20.04 AI 12% ✗ Not first | — |
| 8 | Luke Yates | PR | 0 in 13g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/6g | 2/16g | 4% | — | — |
| 9 | Jordy Crowther | HK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 10 | Paul Vaughan | PR | 0 in 13g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/4g | 4/29g | 6% | — | — |
| 11 | Sam Stone | 2R | 0 in 2g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 3/4g | 0/1g | 14% | — | — |
| 12 | Lachlan Fitzgibbon | 2R | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 13 | Ben Currie | LK | 2 in 14g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·1) | 3/17g | 14/59g | 10% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.70 AI 40% ✗ No try | — |
| 14 | Sam Powell | INT | 0 in 13g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/17g | 3/23g | 2% | — | — |
| 15 | Joe Philbin | INT | 1 in 14g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 1/15g | 2/45g | 6% | — | — |
| 16 | Luke Thomas | INT | no games | 1/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/4g | 10% | — | — |
| 17 | Max Wood | INT | 0 in 6g | 0/6g (0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/3g | 0% | — | — |

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Flanagan | FB | 4 in 11g | 4/10g (0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0·1·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 38% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.89 AI 37% ✗ No try | — |
| 2 | Jacob Gagai | WG | 4 in 12g | 4/10g (1·0·0·1·0·1·1·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 36% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.92 AI 37% ✓ Scored | 🏉 14' 63' |
| 3 | Taane Milne | CE | 0 in 11g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | 🏉 45' |
| 4 | Sam Halsall | CE | 2 in 10g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 1/5g | 0/2g | 30% | — | — |
| 5 | Jake Bibby | WG | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.25 AI 48% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First Try $19.00 AI 16% ✗ Not first | 🏉 19' |
| 6 | Matt Frawley | 5/8 | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 7 | Tui Lolohea | HB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 8 | George King | PR | 1 in 4g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/13g | 0/6g | 6% | — | — |
| 9 | Zac Woolford | HK | 0 in 9g | 0/9g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 10 | Tristan Powell | PR | 0 in 2g | 0/2g (0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| 11 | Joe Greenwood | 2R | 2 in 11g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1) | 4/18g | 0/3g | 8% | — | — |
| 12 | Sam Hewitt | 2R | 1 in 14g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 0/1g | 14% | — | — |
| 13 | Leroy Cudjoe | LK | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 14 | Ashton Golding | INT | 0 in 14g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/7g | 0/3g | 8% | — | — |
| 15 | Harry Rushton | INT | 0 in 7g | 2/10g (0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/2g | 10% | — | — |
| 16 | Matty English | INT | 0 in 10g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/7g | 0/1g | 2% | — | — |
| 17 | Tom Burgess | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Warrington Wolves 1479 · Huddersfield Giants 1238 · ELO difference: 241 in favour of Warrington Wolves

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Warrington Wolves |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Warrington Wolves |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Warrington Wolves |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | Huddersfield Giants |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | Warrington Wolves |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | Warrington Wolves |

**Model Confidence: 62%** — Warrington Wolves predicted to win by 12 points · Predicted total: 46 pts

**Record:** 0/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-25 09:14 UTC (latest tip update)