Wakefield Trinity
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Wakefield Trinity
33%
Wigan Warriors
67%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 67%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Wigan Warriors carry a 315-point ELO rating advantage (1819 vs 1504). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Wakefield Trinity. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 7.5 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.19
Lost ✗
Edge
-16.9%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -7.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wakefield Trinity | R10W R11W R12W R13L R14L older → newer | 36.4 |
Wigan Warriors | R10W R11W R12W R13W R14W | 34.8 |
Avg Conceded
14.8
Wakefield Trinity
14.4
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
21.6
Wakefield Trinity
20.4
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
1195
Wakefield Trinity
1320
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
6.4
Wakefield Trinity
7.2
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
67%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: -7.5