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Super League | Round 15

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SALFORD COMMUNITY STADIUM • SUNDAY 22 JUNE, 10:00 AM AEST
Full Time
SAL

Salford Red Devils

638
HUL

Hull

✅ Model correct — backed Hull at 67%

AI Win Probability

67%HullFavourite

Salford Red Devils

33%

Hull

67%

AI Match Overview

Hull are clear favourites here at 67%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Hull carry a 237-point ELO rating advantage (1438 vs 1201). Recent form favours Hull with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Hull by 8.9 points with a combined total of 46.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Hull to Win @1.03

Winner ✓

Edge

-30.4%

Line / Spread

Hull -8.9 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Hull 1-12 @3.30

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Salford Red Devils
R10L
R11L
R12L
R13L
R14L

older → newer

7.2
Hull
R10L
R11L
R12W
R13W
R14L
20.0

Avg Conceded

53.2

Salford Red Devils

12.8

Hull

Avg Margin

-46.0

Salford Red Devils

7.2

Hull

Run Metres

650

Salford Red Devils

1098

Hull

Clean Breaks

2.4

Salford Red Devils

4.2

Hull

H2H History (Last 5)Salford Red Devils lead 4-1
Aug 2025SAL 6 - 80 HUL
Sep 2024SAL 58 - 4 HUL
Jun 2024SAL 22 - 20 HUL
Jun 2023SAL 29 - 22 HUL
Mar 2023SAL 60 - 14 HUL
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

SAL
1201Overall1438
HUL
ELO difference: -237 in favour of Hull

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

871Forwards821
Best: 1000SAL +50Best: 1023
840Backs823
Best: 1000SAL +17Best: 966
800Halves636
Best: 800SAL +164Best: 636
600Hooker655
HUL +55

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

SAL
Stat
HUL
0.0
Wins (Last 5)
2.0
7.2pts
Avg Score
20.0pts
53.2pts
Avg Conceded
12.8pts
-46.0pts
Avg Margin
7.2pts
650.2m
Run Metres
1097.8m
2.4
Clean Breaks
4.2
185.0
Tackles
306.2
5.4
Errors
10.0

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Hull
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Devils
3
Backline Quality10.0%
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Hull
5
Halves Control9.0%
Devils
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Hull
7
H2H History6.0%
Devils

Model Confidence

67%

Hull predicted to win by 9 points

Predicted total: 46 · Line: -8.9

3/4 match predictions correct