Catalans Dragons
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
31%
Leigh Leopards
69%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 69%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leigh Leopards carry a 194-point ELO rating advantage (1569 vs 1375). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 8.2 points with a combined total of 44.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.46
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.3%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards -8.2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R10L R11L R12L R13L R14L older → newer | 6.0 |
Leigh Leopards | R10W R11L R12L R13W R14W | 23.6 |
Avg Conceded
43.2
Catalans Dragons
26.0
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
-37.2
Catalans Dragons
-2.4
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
577
Catalans Dragons
1197
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
0.8
Catalans Dragons
6.4
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
69%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 44 · Line: -8.2