Wakefield Trinity
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Wakefield Trinity
47%
Leigh Leopards
53%
AI Match Overview
This shapes up as one of the tightest matchups of the round. Our model gives Leigh Leopards a marginal 53% edge, making this essentially a coin-flip contest. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Halves Control and H2H History. Leigh Leopards carry a 21-point ELO rating advantage (1547 vs 1526). The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 5.8 points with a combined total of 47.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @2.25
Winner ✓
Edge
+8.9%
Line / Spread
Wakefield Trinity +5.8 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wakefield Trinity 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wakefield Trinity | R9L R10W R11W R12W R13L older → newer | 36.4 |
Leigh Leopards | R9W R10W R11L R12L R13W | 24.4 |
Avg Conceded
14.8
Wakefield Trinity
23.2
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
21.6
Wakefield Trinity
1.2
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1230
Wakefield Trinity
1254
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
7.0
Wakefield Trinity
6.0
Leigh Leopards
ELO–Market Disagreement
Leigh Leopards hold the ELO advantage (1547 vs 1526), but the market favours Wakefield Trinity (@1.80).
The model sides with ELO, Leigh Leopards predicted to win despite longer odds.
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
53%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 47 · Line: +5.8