Leeds Rhinos
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
83%
Warrington Wolves
17%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 83%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Recent Win Rate. Leeds Rhinos carry a 105-point ELO rating advantage (1612 vs 1507). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 13.1 points with a combined total of 38.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.40
Winner ✓
Edge
+11.7%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +13.1 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 13-24 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R9L R10W R11W R12W R13W older → newer | 20.0 |
Warrington Wolves | R9W R10L R11L R12L R13W | 21.6 |
Avg Conceded
12.8
Leeds Rhinos
27.0
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
7.2
Leeds Rhinos
-5.4
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
1419
Leeds Rhinos
710
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
4.4
Leeds Rhinos
4.2
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
83%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 13 points
Predicted total: 38 · Line: +13.1