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Super League | Round 14

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FLAIR STADIUM • SATURDAY 14 JUNE, 10:00 AM AEST
Full Time
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

1822
WIG

Wigan Warriors

✅ Model correct — backed Wigan Warriors at 65%

AI Win Probability

65%Wigan WarriorsFavourite

Huddersfield Giants

35%

Wigan Warriors

65%

AI Match Overview

Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 65%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 577-point ELO rating advantage (1818 vs 1240). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 9.3 points with a combined total of 44.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Wigan Warriors to Win @1.08

Winner ✓

Edge

-27.4%

Line / Spread

Wigan Warriors -9.3 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Lost ✗

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Huddersfield Giants
R9L
R10W
R11L
R12L
R13L

older → newer

10.4
Wigan Warriors
R9W
R10W
R11W
R12W
R13W
37.6

Avg Conceded

29.6

Huddersfield Giants

13.2

Wigan Warriors

Avg Margin

-19.2

Huddersfield Giants

24.4

Wigan Warriors

Run Metres

1019

Huddersfield Giants

1326

Wigan Warriors

Clean Breaks

1.6

Huddersfield Giants

7.2

Wigan Warriors

H2H History (Last 5)Wigan Warriors lead 4-1
Apr 2026HUD 34 - 16 WIG
Jul 2025HUD 10 - 30 WIG
Mar 2025HUD 18 - 44 WIG
Feb 2024HUD 6 - 48 WIG
Jul 2024HUD 14 - 28 WIG
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

HUD
1240Overall1818
WIG
ELO difference: -577 in favour of Wigan Warriors

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

804Forwards817
Best: 1137WIG +12Best: 1049
870Backs1038
Best: 1050WIG +168Best: 1224
1080Halves867
Best: 1080HUD +213Best: 867
781Hooker672
HUD +109

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

HUD
Stat
WIG
1.0
Wins (Last 5)
5.0
10.4pts
Avg Score
37.6pts
29.6pts
Avg Conceded
13.2pts
-19.2pts
Avg Margin
24.4pts
1019.2m
Run Metres
1325.8m
1.6
Clean Breaks
7.2
281.4
Tackles
277.0
9.8
Errors
11.8

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Warriors
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Warriors
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Warriors
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Warriors
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
7
H2H History6.0%
Warriors

Model Confidence

65%

Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 9 points

Predicted total: 44 · Line: -9.3

3/4 match predictions correct