Salford Red Devils
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Salford Red Devils
31%
Wigan Warriors
69%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 69%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 597-point ELO rating advantage (1814 vs 1218). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 12.0 points with a combined total of 46.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.44
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -12 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Salford Red Devils | R8L R9L R10L R11L R12L older → newer | 8.4 |
Wigan Warriors | R8W R9W R10W R11W R12W | 33.2 |
Avg Conceded
48.0
Salford Red Devils
14.8
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
-39.6
Salford Red Devils
18.4
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
735
Salford Red Devils
1244
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
3.2
Salford Red Devils
5.6
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
69%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 12 points
Predicted total: 46 · Line: -12.0