Leeds Rhinos
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
63%
Wakefield Trinity
37%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos hold the advantage at 63% win probability, though Wakefield Trinity are far from out of this at 37%. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Venue Advantage. Leeds Rhinos carry a 46-point ELO rating advantage (1593 vs 1547). The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 2.0 points with a combined total of 40.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.35
Winner ✓
Edge
-10.8%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R8W R9L R10W R11W R12W older → newer | 21.2 |
Wakefield Trinity | R8W R9L R10W R11W R12W | 35.4 |
Avg Conceded
10.4
Leeds Rhinos
12.8
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
10.8
Leeds Rhinos
22.6
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1364
Leeds Rhinos
1240
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
4.8
Leeds Rhinos
7.6
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
63%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 2 points
Predicted total: 40 · Line: +2.0