# Huddersfield Giants v Leigh Leopards — Super League Round 13 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Huddersfield Giants 24 – 28 Leigh Leopards

_Leigh Leopards hunt down Huddersfield Giants in a tight one._

Half time: 6 – 12 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Huddersfield Giants 31% / Leigh Leopards 69% · John Smith's Stadium · Thu, 29 May, 10:00 am AEST

**Try Scorers** — Huddersfield Giants: George Flanagan (34'), Adam Swift (65'), Sam Halsall (74'), Leroy Cudjoe (76') · Leigh Leopards: Isaac Liu (16' 1st), Ben McNamara (25'), David Armstrong (43' Tipped ⚡), Lachlan Lam (51'), Frankie Halton (57' Tipped ⚡)

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Leigh Leopards | 69% | Won |
| Huddersfield Giants | 31% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 2.4 predicted → 4 actual · Markets hit: 2/2

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Huddersfield Giants vs Leigh Leopards Prediction & Tips | Super League Round 13 2025**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 30 May 2026, 07:35 pm · Last updated: 25 July 2026, 07:13 pm_

Huddersfield Giants 24–28 Leigh Leopards in Super League Round 13 at John Smith's Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Twenty two unanswered points. That's what Leigh Leopards banked between the 43rd and 59th minute, turning a six point half-time buffer into a laugher, before Huddersfield Giants spent the last quarter making it respectable and nothing more.

Final score: Huddersfield Giants 24, Leigh Leopards 28, at John Smith's Stadium. The margin was four points but the game wasn't nearly that close for most of it.

Leigh were away early. Isaac Liu crossed in the 16th minute, Ben McNamara added the extras and then scored his own try nine minutes later, and by the 26th minute it was 0-12. Huddersfield clawed back through George Flanagan either side of the half-hour mark to make it 6-12 at the break, and for a moment it looked like a contest.

Then Leigh took it away for good. David Armstrong scored right on the stroke of half-time's aftermath at the 43rd minute, McNamara converted, and from there Lachlan Lam and Frankie Halton piled on tries at 51 and 57 to push it out to 6-28. That's the stretch that decided the match. Huddersfield didn't touch the scoreboard for 40 minutes while Leigh ran in four tries.

The Giants did find some pride late, Adam Swift, Sam Halsall and Leroy Cudjoe all crossing between the 65th and 76th minute to drag the deficit back to four, but by then the clock had done its job. Three tries in twelve minutes is a decent recovery. It's just not enough when you're staring down a 22 point hole.

The stat sheet backs up what the scoreboard suggests. Leigh broke the line seven times to three and ran for 1,359 metres against 1,262, modest edges on paper but the kind that show up in tries when they land at the right moments. Huddersfield actually offloaded more, 13 to 6, and gave away fewer penalties, 2 to 3, but neither of those things stop a team scoring four tries in seventeen minutes.

None of it should surprise anyone who looked at the sides walking in. Leigh's hooker rating of 945 dwarfed Huddersfield's 677, and their forward pack, 904 to 793, gave them go forward ball all night. Add in the recent form split, three wins from five for Leigh against one for Huddersfield, and an average margin of plus 1.2 versus minus 22.8, and the pre-match numbers were always pointing one way.

Alphr's model had Leigh Leopards favourites at 69 percent and picked the margin at 2.4 points. The final gap of 4 landed inside the same 1 to 12 band the model called, about as clean a read as you'll get on a game that swung as hard as this one did. Four from fifteen overall on the match markets, so plenty to review, but the shape of the result, Leigh in control for most of it before a grandstand finish, is exactly what the numbers suggested was coming.

**Key Match Stats**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| 1,262 | Run metres | **1,359** |
| 3 | Line breaks | **7** |
| 23 | Tackle busts | **26** |
| **13** | Offloads | 6 |
| 6 | Errors | 6 |
| **2** | Penalties conceded | 3 |

**Scoring Breakdown**

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 5 |
| 4/4 | Goals | 4/5 |
| 2 | Penalties Conceded | 3 |
| 6 | Errors | 6 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Leigh Leopards to win at 69% probability. The margin model was sharp, predicting Leigh Leopards by 2.4 vs the actual margin of 4 points. The model went 4/15 on this match. The 1-12 margin band call landed.

**Ref Watch: Clean Game** (31/100) — penalties Huddersfield Giants 2 · Leigh Leopards 3.

_Official Super League match stats · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 69.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 2 · Predicted total: 39

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Leigh Leopards here: 69% to see off Huddersfield Giants. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Leigh Leopards sit 292 ELO points clear, 1540 to 1248. Form leans Leigh Leopards' way: 3 from their last 5, against 1 for Huddersfield Giants.

Leigh Leopards own the matchup too, leading 6 of 7 factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. The margin model has Leigh Leopards by 2.4, with the two sides combining for about 39. A big number on the win and a tighter one on the scoreboard. Back Leigh Leopards to win, not to win big.

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Huddersfield Giants | Stat | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 6.8pts | Avg Score | 22.4pts |
| 29.6pts | Avg Conceded | 21.2pts |
| -22.8pts | Avg Margin | 1.2pts |
| 898.4m | Run Metres | 1224.4m |
| 1.4 | Clean Breaks | 5.2 |
| 278.6 | Tackles | 297.8 |
| 10.6 | Errors | 8.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield Giants | R8 L · R9 L · R10 W · R11 L · R12 L | 6.8 |
| Leigh Leopards | R8 W · R9 W · R10 W · R11 L · R12 L | 22.4 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Leigh Leopards lead 4-1

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | R25 | Huddersfield Giants | 30 – 18 | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 75% ✗ |
| 2026 | R9 | Leigh Leopards | 30 – 16 | Huddersfield Giants | Leigh Leopards 72% ✓ |
| 2025 | R27 | Leigh Leopards | 30 – 16 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |
| 2025 | R2 | Leigh Leopards | 24 – 10 | Huddersfield Giants | not priced |
| 2024 | — | Huddersfield Giants | 10 – 16 | Leigh Leopards | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in 1 of the last 2 decided meetings it priced._

### Positional Matchup

_Season-to-date production per game with league-wide attack/defence tiers (12 teams)._

**Field Matchup** — where one team attacks vs where the other concedes:
- Huddersfield Giants' best path is the middle: Super League's 8th-ranked middle attack (0.83 tries/game) runs at a Leigh Leopards defence ranked 6th there (1.42 conceded/game). Key man: Gagai, 3 tries in that channel this season.
- Leigh Leopards' best path is the left edge: Super League's 3rd-ranked left edge attack (1.33 tries/game) runs at a Huddersfield Giants defence ranked 12th there (1.5 conceded/game). Key man: Hanley, 5 tries in that channel this season.

| Channel | Huddersfield Giants | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Left | 0.25/g (att 12th (weak)) · concedes 1.5/g (def 12th (weak)) | 1.33/g (att 3rd (strong)) · concedes 0.83/g (def 5th) |
| Middle | 0.83/g (att 8th) · concedes 2.33/g (def 11th (weak)) | 1/g (att 7th) · concedes 1.42/g (def 6th) |
| Right | 0.33/g (att 11th (weak)) · concedes 1/g (def 9th (weak)) | 1.08/g (att 5th) · concedes 0.67/g (def 6th) |

**Attack Spine** (Halfback · Five-Eighth · Hooker)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 7th | 5th |
| Defence rank | 10th (weak) | 6th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 3 · 11 | 5 · 4 |
| Try Assists | 0.8/g | 2.1/g |
| Run Metres | 81m/g | 143m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 3.8/g | 3.4/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.3/g | 1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 88.7% | 86.4% |

**Outside Backs** (Fullback · Wingers · Centres)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 11th (weak) | 6th |
| Defence rank | 11th (weak) | 6th |
| Tries scored · conceded | 7 · 31 | 21 · 16 |
| Try Assists | 0.3/g | 0.3/g |
| Run Metres | 335m/g | 570m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 9.3/g | 18.7/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.8/g | 2.4/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 79.3% | 82.7% |

**Forwards** (Props · 2nd Rows · Lock)

|  | Huddersfield Giants | Leigh Leopards |
|---|---|---|
| Attack rank | 8th | 2nd (strong) |
| Defence rank | 7th | 9th (weak) |
| Tries scored · conceded | 4 · 8 | 12 · 9 |
| Try Assists | 0/g | 0.3/g |
| Run Metres | 160m/g | 376m/g |
| Tackle Breaks | 5/g | 7.2/g |
| Line Breaks | 0.5/g | 1/g |
| Tackle Efficiency | 92.5% | 94.6% |

**Who scores on Leigh Leopards** — Halfbacks 0.19/g (lg 0.14) +36% · Five-Eighths 0.2/g (lg 0.18) +11% · Props 0.13/g (lg 0.12) +8%
**Who scores on Huddersfield Giants** — Wingers 1.23/g (lg 0.87) +41% · Centres 0.5/g (lg 0.38) +32% · Five-Eighths 0.23/g (lg 0.18) +28%

_Tries conceded by position, last 3 seasons; positive = concedes above league average to that position._

### Try Scorer History — Who Crosses The Line

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at John Smith's Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-try pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. Try % = share of games with a try, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Huddersfield Giants** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Flanagan | INT | 2 in 9g | 2/9g (0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 1/4g | 22% | — | 🏉 34' |
| 2 | Adam Swift | WG | 3 in 10g | 3/10g (0·0·1·1·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 4/7g | 4/10g | 52% | — | 🏉 65' |
| 3 | Jake Bibby | CE | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | 🎯 First Try $11.11 AI 13% ✗ Not first | — |
| 4 | Taane Milne | CE | 0 in 9g | 0/9g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/4g | 0% | — | — |
| 5 | Sam Halsall | WG | 1 in 8g | 2/10g (1·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/4g | 10/24g | 28% | — | 🏉 74' |
| 6 | Tui Lolohea | 5/8 | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 7 | Adam Clune | HB | 0 in 4g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 1/13g | 14% | — | — |
| 8 | Zac Woolford | PR | 0 in 7g | 0/7g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/4g | 0% | — | — |
| 9 | George King | HK | 0 in 2g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/9g | 0/5g | 2% | — | — |
| 10 | Harry Rushton | PR | 0 in 6g | 2/10g (0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 2/19g | 10% | — | — |
| 11 | Joe Greenwood | 2R | 1 in 9g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/4g | 4/40g | 8% | — | — |
| 12 | Leroy Cudjoe | 2R | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | 🏉 76' |
| 13 | Ashton Golding | LK | 0 in 12g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/4g | 5/36g | 8% | — | — |
| 14 | Kieran Rush | INT | 0 in 4g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/7g | 0% | — | — |
| 15 | Oliver Wilson | INT | 2 in 10g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 1/7g | 1/39g | 8% | — | — |
| 16 | Tom Burgess | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |

**Leigh Leopards** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | Try % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Armstrong | FB | 3 in 7g | 3/7g (0·1·2·0·0·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 29% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.51 AI 43% ✓ Scored | 🏉 43' |
| 2 | Darnell Mcintosh | WG | 3 in 6g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·2·0·1·0·0·0) | 2/6g | 0/6g | 22% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.55 AI 29% ✗ No try | — |
| 3 | Tesi Niu | CE | 3 in 10g | 3/10g (0·1·0·1·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 30% | ⚡ Anytime Try $4.60 AI 29% ✗ No try | — |
| 4 | Umyla Hanley | CE | 5 in 8g | 5/10g (0·0·0·0·3·1·0·1·0·0) | 0/5g | 0/2g | 28% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.44 AI 44% ✗ No try | — |
| 5 | Keanan Brand | WG | 3 in 10g | 3/10g (0·1·1·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 1/2g | 0/1g | 18% | — | — |
| 6 | Lachlan Lam | 5/8 | 0 in 12g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 2/6g | 1/2g | 12% | — | 🏉 51' |
| 7 | Ben McNamara | HB | 1 in 7g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 0/5g | 0/1g | 10% | — | 🏉 25' |
| 8 | Joe Ofahengaue | PR | 1 in 3g | 1/3g (0·1·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 33% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.18 AI 49% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $18.55 AI 10% ✗ Not first | — |
| 9 | Edwin Ipape | HK | 4 in 11g | 4/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·1·1·0·1) | 2/6g | 1/2g | 36% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.33 AI 69% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $12.49 AI 18% ✗ Not first | — |
| 10 | Robbie Mulhern | PR | 0 in 9g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/6g | 0/2g | 6% | — | — |
| 11 | Frankie Halton | 2R | 2 in 5g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1) | 0/7g | 0/2g | 18% | ⚡ Anytime Try $3.38 AI 45% ✓ Scored | 🏉 57' |
| 12 | Owen Trout | 2R | 3 in 12g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·1·1) | 0/4g | 4/22g | 12% | ⚡ Anytime Try $2.83 AI 56% ✗ No try; 🎯 First Try $16.09 AI 13% ✗ Not first | — |
| 13 | Isaac Liu | LK | 0 in 12g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | 🏉 16' |
| 14 | Bailey Hodgson | INT | 1 in 11g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 9% | — | — |
| 15 | Alec Tuitavake | INT | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| 16 | Matt Davis | INT | 2 in 12g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 1/7g | 0/2g | 10% | — | — |
| 17 | Jack Hughes | INT | 1 in 11g | 1/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/15g | 0/2g | 6% | — | — |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Huddersfield Giants 1248 · Leigh Leopards 1540 · ELO difference: 292 in favour of Leigh Leopards

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELO Difference | 15.0% | Leigh Leopards |
| 2 | Forward Pack | 12.0% | Leigh Leopards |
| 3 | Backline Quality | 10.0% | Leigh Leopards |
| 4 | Recent Win Rate | 10.0% | Leigh Leopards |
| 5 | Halves Control | 9.0% | — |
| 6 | Venue Advantage | 8.0% | Leigh Leopards |
| 7 | H2H History | 6.0% | Leigh Leopards |

**Model Confidence: 69%** — Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 2 points · Predicted total: 39 pts

**Record:** 2/2 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-07-25 09:13 UTC (latest tip update)