Catalans Dragons
Hull
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
36%
Hull
64%
AI Match Overview
Hull hold the advantage at 64% win probability, though Catalans Dragons are far from out of this at 36%. Catalans Dragons are stronger on paper across 6 of 7 key factors, including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate, but Hull counter with Forward Pack which tips the scales. Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Hull. The margin model predicts Hull by 7.3 points with a combined total of 43.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Hull to Win @2.15
Winner ✓
Edge
+17.4%
Line / Spread
Hull -7.3 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Hull 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R8W R9W R10L R11L R12L older → newer | 17.2 |
Hull | R8L R9L R10L R11L R12W | 15.6 |
Avg Conceded
28.8
Catalans Dragons
21.2
Hull
Avg Margin
-11.6
Catalans Dragons
-5.6
Hull
Run Metres
670
Catalans Dragons
1050
Hull
Clean Breaks
2.4
Catalans Dragons
3.6
Hull
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
64%
Hull predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 43 · Line: -7.3