Wakefield Trinity
Salford Red Devils
AI Win Probability
Wakefield Trinity
80%
Salford Red Devils
20%
AI Match Overview
Wakefield Trinity are clear favourites here at 80%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Salford Red Devils. Salford Red Devils are stronger on paper across 4 of 7 key factors, including Backline Quality, Halves Control and Venue Advantage, but Wakefield Trinity counter with ELO Difference and Forward Pack which tips the scales. Wakefield Trinity carry a 286-point ELO rating advantage (1526 vs 1240). Recent form favours Wakefield Trinity with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Salford Red Devils. The margin model predicts Wakefield Trinity by 15.1 points with a combined total of 44.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wakefield Trinity to Win @1.02
Winner ✓
Edge
-18.5%
Line / Spread
Wakefield Trinity +15.1 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wakefield Trinity 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wakefield Trinity | R7L R8W R9L R10W R11W older → newer | 23.8 |
Salford Red Devils | R7L R8L R9L R10L R11L | 6.4 |
Avg Conceded
16.0
Wakefield Trinity
39.2
Salford Red Devils
Avg Margin
7.8
Wakefield Trinity
-32.8
Salford Red Devils
Run Metres
1132
Wakefield Trinity
755
Salford Red Devils
Clean Breaks
5.4
Wakefield Trinity
3.0
Salford Red Devils
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
80%
Wakefield Trinity predicted to win by 15 points
Predicted total: 44 · Line: +15.1