Catalans Dragons
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
18%
Wigan Warriors
82%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 82%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Catalans Dragons. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 349-point ELO rating advantage (1801 vs 1451). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Catalans Dragons. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 11.9 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.35
Winner ✓
Edge
+8.2%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -11.9 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | R7W R8W R9W R10L R11L older → newer | 24.8 |
Wigan Warriors | R7W R8W R9W R10W R11W | 29.2 |
Avg Conceded
22.8
Catalans Dragons
17.2
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
2.0
Catalans Dragons
12.0
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
725
Catalans Dragons
1272
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
2.6
Catalans Dragons
4.8
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
82%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 12 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: -11.9