# Castleford Tigers v Leeds Rhinos — Super League Round 12 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Leeds Rhinos
Sat, 24 May, 10:00 am AEST · The Jungle · Round 12

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 64.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 64.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 64.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 1 · Predicted total: 42

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Leeds Rhinos |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 20.8pts | Avg Score | 21.0pts |
| 18.6pts | Avg Conceded | 9.2pts |
| 2.2pts | Avg Margin | 11.8pts |
| 962.0m | Run Metres | 1238.6m |
| 2.8 | Clean Breaks | 4.4 |
| 241.0 | Tackles | 294.8 |
| 5.4 | Errors | 9.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R7 L · R8 L · R9 W · R10 L · R11 W | 20.8 |
| Leeds Rhinos | R7 W · R8 W · R9 L · R10 W · R11 W | 21.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)