Wigan Warriors
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
68%
Leigh Leopards
32%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 68%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Halves Control. Wigan Warriors carry a 186-point ELO rating advantage (1788 vs 1602). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 4 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 11.2 points with a combined total of 46.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.14
Winner ✓
Edge
-19.6%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +11.2 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R6W R7W R8W R9W R10W older → newer | 32.8 |
Leigh Leopards | R6L R7W R8W R9W R10W | 21.2 |
Avg Conceded
11.6
Wigan Warriors
18.0
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
21.2
Wigan Warriors
3.2
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1332
Wigan Warriors
1326
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
5.4
Wigan Warriors
5.0
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
68%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 11 points
Predicted total: 46 · Line: +11.2