St Helens
Catalans Dragons
AI Win Probability
St Helens
61%
Catalans Dragons
39%
AI Match Overview
St Helens hold the advantage at 61% win probability, though Catalans Dragons are far from out of this at 39%. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for St Helens. The margin model predicts St Helens by 6.4 points with a combined total of 36.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
St Helens to Win @1.25
Winner ✓
Edge
-18.7%
Line / Spread
St Helens +6.4 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
St Helens 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R6W R7W R8L R9L R10L older → newer | 15.2 |
Catalans Dragons | R6L R7W R8W R9W R10L | 27.4 |
Avg Conceded
20.0
St Helens
17.6
Catalans Dragons
Avg Margin
-4.8
St Helens
9.8
Catalans Dragons
Run Metres
1047
St Helens
770
Catalans Dragons
Clean Breaks
4.0
St Helens
2.8
Catalans Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
61%
St Helens predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 36 · Line: +6.4