# St Helens v Catalans Dragons — Super League Round 11 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### St Helens v Catalans Dragons
Thu, 15 May, 10:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 61.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 61.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 61.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 6 · Predicted total: 36

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| St Helens | Stat | Catalans Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 15.2pts | Avg Score | 27.4pts |
| 20.0pts | Avg Conceded | 17.6pts |
| -4.8pts | Avg Margin | 9.8pts |
| 1047.0m | Run Metres | 770.4m |
| 4.0 | Clean Breaks | 2.8 |
| 261.2 | Tackles | 179.8 |
| 9.6 | Errors | 5.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| St Helens | R6 W · R7 W · R8 L · R9 L · R10 L | 15.2 |
| Catalans Dragons | R6 L · R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 L | 27.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)