Leeds Rhinos
Hull
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
72%
Hull
28%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 72%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Venue Advantage. Leeds Rhinos carry a 174-point ELO rating advantage (1567 vs 1393). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Hull. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 12.8 points with a combined total of 41.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.30
Winner ✓
Edge
-4.5%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +12.8 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R6L R7W R8W R9L R10W older → newer | 20.2 |
Hull | R6W R7W R8L R9L R10L | 17.6 |
Avg Conceded
9.2
Leeds Rhinos
21.2
Hull
Avg Margin
11.0
Leeds Rhinos
-3.6
Hull
Run Metres
1194
Leeds Rhinos
1069
Hull
Clean Breaks
4.4
Leeds Rhinos
4.0
Hull
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
72%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 13 points
Predicted total: 41 · Line: +12.8