Wigan Warriors
Warrington Wolves
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
81%
Warrington Wolves
19%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 81%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 205-point ELO rating advantage (1778 vs 1573). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 15.0 points with a combined total of 44.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.14
Winner ✓
Edge
-6.5%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +15 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R5L R6W R7W R8W R9W older → newer | 30.4 |
Warrington Wolves | R5W R6W R7L R8L R9W | 18.4 |
Avg Conceded
10.0
Wigan Warriors
18.0
Warrington Wolves
Avg Margin
20.4
Wigan Warriors
0.4
Warrington Wolves
Run Metres
1302
Wigan Warriors
698
Warrington Wolves
Clean Breaks
5.4
Wigan Warriors
3.0
Warrington Wolves
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
81%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 15 points
Predicted total: 44 · Line: +15.0