# Castleford Tigers v Wakefield Trinity — Super League Round 10 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Castleford Tigers v Wakefield Trinity
Sun, 04 May, 10:00 am AEST · St James' Park · Round 10

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 59.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers — model probability 59.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 59.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 3 · Predicted total: 40

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Castleford Tigers | Stat | Wakefield Trinity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 13.2pts | Avg Score | 19.8pts |
| 19.0pts | Avg Conceded | 18.4pts |
| -5.8pts | Avg Margin | 1.4pts |
| 893.2m | Run Metres | 1106.2m |
| 2.8 | Clean Breaks | 3.6 |
| 220.8 | Tackles | 326.0 |
| 5.2 | Errors | 9.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers | R5 L · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R9 W | 13.2 |
| Wakefield Trinity | R5 L · R6 W · R7 L · R8 W · R9 L | 19.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)