Wigan Warriors
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
74%
Leigh Leopards
26%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 74%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leigh Leopards. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 7 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 124-point ELO rating advantage (1707 vs 1583). Recent form favours Wigan Warriors with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Leigh Leopards. The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 14.4 points with a combined total of 40.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.12
Lost ✗
Edge
-15.5%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +14.4 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 13-24 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | W W W W W | 34.6 |
Leigh Leopards | W W W L L | 13.2 |
Avg Conceded
4.4
Wigan Warriors
18.4
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
30.2
Wigan Warriors
-5.2
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
1318
Wigan Warriors
773
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
8.0
Wigan Warriors
2.8
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
74%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 14 points
Predicted total: 40 · Line: +14.4