Leeds Rhinos
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
70%
Wakefield Trinity
30%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 70%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Halves Control. Leeds Rhinos carry a 107-point ELO rating advantage (1511 vs 1404). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Wakefield Trinity. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 7.3 points with a combined total of 36.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.28
Lost ✗
Edge
-8.0%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +7.3 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | W W W L L | 24.6 |
Wakefield Trinity | L L L L L | 11.4 |
Avg Conceded
19.2
Leeds Rhinos
29.2
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
5.4
Leeds Rhinos
-17.8
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1052
Leeds Rhinos
580
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
4.0
Leeds Rhinos
1.6
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
70%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 36 · Line: +7.3