# Hull KR v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 1 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Hull KR v Castleford Tigers
Fri, 14 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 87.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 87.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 13-24 — model probability 87.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 16 · Predicted total: 40

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Hull KR | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 16.4pts | Avg Score | 14.2pts |
| 11.4pts | Avg Conceded | 31.2pts |
| 5.0pts | Avg Margin | -17.0pts |
| 1157.6m | Run Metres | 579.4m |
| 2.4 | Clean Breaks | 1.0 |
| 296.4 | Tackles | 151.2 |
| 8.0 | Errors | 6.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Hull KR | R25 L · R26 W · R27 W · W · L | 16.4 |
| Castleford Tigers | R23 L · R24 W · R25 L · R26 L · R27 L | 14.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r1-hull-kr-v-castleford-tigers
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)