Catalans Dragons
Hull
AI Win Probability
Catalans Dragons
71%
Hull
29%
AI Match Overview
Catalans Dragons are clear favourites here at 71%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Hull. The model sees Catalans Dragons ahead on 7 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Catalans Dragons carry a 220-point ELO rating advantage (1486 vs 1266). Recent form favours Catalans Dragons with 2 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Hull. The margin model predicts Catalans Dragons by 12.1 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Catalans Dragons to Win @1.28
Lost ✗
Edge
-7.4%
Line / Spread
Catalans Dragons +12.1 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Catalans Dragons 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Catalans Dragons | W W L L L | 14.4 |
Hull | L L L L L | 7.6 |
Avg Conceded
16.6
Catalans Dragons
42.2
Hull
Avg Margin
-2.2
Catalans Dragons
-34.6
Hull
Run Metres
748
Catalans Dragons
637
Hull
Clean Breaks
1.8
Catalans Dragons
1.0
Hull
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
71%
Catalans Dragons predicted to win by 12 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: +12.1