Warrington Wolves
Leigh Leopards
AI Win Probability
Warrington Wolves
22%
Leigh Leopards
78%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 78%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Warrington Wolves. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Leigh Leopards carry a 274-point ELO rating advantage (1631 vs 1357). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Warrington Wolves. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 6.0 points with a combined total of 37.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.32
Winner ✓
Edge
+2.6%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards -6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Warrington Wolves | R20L R21L R22W R23L R24L older → newer | 17.2 |
Leigh Leopards | R20W R21L R22L R23W R24W | 26.0 |
Avg Conceded
22.8
Warrington Wolves
13.6
Leigh Leopards
Avg Margin
-5.6
Warrington Wolves
12.4
Leigh Leopards
Run Metres
835
Warrington Wolves
1266
Leigh Leopards
Clean Breaks
1.8
Warrington Wolves
5.6
Leigh Leopards
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
78%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 37 · Line: -6.0