St Helens
Wigan Warriors
AI Win Probability
St Helens
31%
Wigan Warriors
69%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 69%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over St Helens. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Wigan Warriors carry a 38-point ELO rating advantage (1718 vs 1680). The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 6.6 points with a combined total of 38.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.68
Winner ✓
Edge
+9.6%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors -6.6 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
St Helens | R20W R21W R22W R23W R24L older → newer | 30.0 |
Wigan Warriors | R20W R21W R22L R23W R24W | 28.4 |
Avg Conceded
6.0
St Helens
10.4
Wigan Warriors
Avg Margin
24.0
St Helens
18.0
Wigan Warriors
Run Metres
1336
St Helens
1159
Wigan Warriors
Clean Breaks
5.2
St Helens
5.0
Wigan Warriors
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
69%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 38 · Line: -6.6