Wigan Warriors
Leeds Rhinos
AI Win Probability
Wigan Warriors
68%
Leeds Rhinos
32%
AI Match Overview
Wigan Warriors are clear favourites here at 68%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Leeds Rhinos. The model sees Wigan Warriors ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Halves Control. Wigan Warriors carry a 59-point ELO rating advantage (1752 vs 1694). The margin model predicts Wigan Warriors by 3.4 points with a combined total of 44.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wigan Warriors to Win @1.13
Winner ✓
Edge
-20.4%
Line / Spread
Wigan Warriors +3.4 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Wigan Warriors 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wigan Warriors | R22L R23W R24W R25W R26W older → newer | 34.0 |
Leeds Rhinos | R22W R23W R24W R25W R26L | 32.0 |
Avg Conceded
5.2
Wigan Warriors
5.6
Leeds Rhinos
Avg Margin
28.8
Wigan Warriors
26.4
Leeds Rhinos
Run Metres
1206
Wigan Warriors
1320
Leeds Rhinos
Clean Breaks
5.8
Wigan Warriors
5.0
Leeds Rhinos
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
68%
Wigan Warriors predicted to win by 3 points
Predicted total: 44 · Line: +3.4