# St Helens v Castleford Tigers — Super League Round 27 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### St Helens v Castleford Tigers
Fri, 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 27

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 81.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 81.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 13-24 — model probability 81.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 14 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| St Helens | Stat | Castleford Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 18.0pts | Avg Score | 9.6pts |
| 14.4pts | Avg Conceded | 46.4pts |
| 3.6pts | Avg Margin | -36.8pts |
| 1217.8m | Run Metres | 563.0m |
| 3.2 | Clean Breaks | 1.6 |
| 275.2 | Tackles | 218.0 |
| 10.6 | Errors | 7.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| St Helens | R22 W · R23 W · R24 L · R25 L · R26 L | 18.0 |
| Castleford Tigers | R22 L · R23 L · R24 L · R25 W · R26 L | 9.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-pf-st-helens-v-castleford-tigers
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)