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Super League | Round 27

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PROGRESS WITH UNITY STADIUM • FRIDAY 19 SEPT, 10:00 AM AEST
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LEI

Leigh Leopards

3016
HUD

Huddersfield Giants

✅ Model correct — backed Leigh Leopards at 75%

AI Win Probability

75%Leigh LeopardsFavourite

Leigh Leopards

75%

Huddersfield Giants

25%

AI Match Overview

Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 75%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Huddersfield Giants. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Leigh Leopards carry a 334-point ELO rating advantage (1678 vs 1344). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Huddersfield Giants. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 17.6 points with a combined total of 46.

Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis

Edge Analysis

Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.

H2H Recommendation

Leigh Leopards to Win @1.05

Winner ✓

Edge

-20.1%

Line / Spread

Leigh Leopards +17.6 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Margin Band

Leigh Leopards 13-24 @3.30

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Total Points

Over 40.5 @1.91

Winner ✓

Edge

+0.0%

Form & History

TeamLast 5Avg Pts
Leigh Leopards
R22L
R23W
R24W
R25W
R26W

older → newer

31.6
Huddersfield Giants
R22L
R23W
R24L
R25L
R26W
10.2

Avg Conceded

10.4

Leigh Leopards

28.8

Huddersfield Giants

Avg Margin

21.2

Leigh Leopards

-18.6

Huddersfield Giants

Run Metres

1328

Leigh Leopards

817

Huddersfield Giants

Clean Breaks

6.0

Leigh Leopards

2.4

Huddersfield Giants

H2H History (Last 5)Leigh Leopards lead 5-0
May 2026LEI 30 - 16 HUD
Jun 2025LEI 28 - 24 HUD
Mar 2025LEI 24 - 10 HUD
Feb 2024LEI 16 - 10 HUD
Jul 2024LEI 20 - 16 HUD
Prediction BreakdownPure Alpha Model

📊Team ELO Ratings

LEI
1678Overall1344
HUD
ELO difference: +334 in favour of Leigh Leopards

🏈Positional Matchups

Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit

839Forwards924
Best: 1152HUD +85Best: 1175
945Backs939
Best: 1174EvenBest: 1032
794Halves1100
Best: 794HUD +306Best: 1100
600Hooker1417
HUD +817

📈Recent Form (Last 5)

LEI
Stat
HUD
4.0
Wins (Last 5)
2.0
31.6pts
Avg Score
10.2pts
10.4pts
Avg Conceded
28.8pts
21.2pts
Avg Margin
-18.6pts
1327.8m
Run Metres
816.6m
6.0
Clean Breaks
2.4
281.6
Tackles
278.6
7.0
Errors
7.0

🔑Key Prediction Factors

What the model weighted most in this prediction

1
ELO Difference15.0%
Leopards
2
Forward Pack12.0%
Giants
3
Backline Quality10.0%
Leopards
4
Recent Win Rate10.0%
Leopards
5
Halves Control9.0%
Giants
6
Venue Advantage8.0%
Leopards
7
H2H History6.0%
Leopards

Model Confidence

75%

Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 18 points

Predicted total: 46 · Line: +17.6

4/4 match predictions correct