Leigh Leopards
Wakefield Trinity
AI Win Probability
Leigh Leopards
81%
Wakefield Trinity
19%
AI Match Overview
Leigh Leopards are clear favourites here at 81%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Wakefield Trinity. The model sees Leigh Leopards ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Venue Advantage. Leigh Leopards carry a 120-point ELO rating advantage (1685 vs 1566). Recent form favours Leigh Leopards with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Wakefield Trinity. The margin model predicts Leigh Leopards by 3.9 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leigh Leopards to Win @1.37
Winner ✓
Edge
+8.0%
Line / Spread
Leigh Leopards +3.9 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leigh Leopards 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Over 40.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leigh Leopards | R23W R24W R25W R26W R27W older → newer | 35.2 |
Wakefield Trinity | R23L R24W R25L R26W R27W | 30.4 |
Avg Conceded
10.0
Leigh Leopards
20.0
Wakefield Trinity
Avg Margin
25.2
Leigh Leopards
10.4
Wakefield Trinity
Run Metres
1317
Leigh Leopards
1175
Wakefield Trinity
Clean Breaks
7.0
Leigh Leopards
5.8
Wakefield Trinity
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
81%
Leigh Leopards predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +3.9