Leeds Rhinos
St Helens
AI Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
70%
St Helens
30%
AI Match Overview
Leeds Rhinos are clear favourites here at 70%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over St Helens. The model sees Leeds Rhinos ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Recent Win Rate. Leeds Rhinos carry a 46-point ELO rating advantage (1666 vs 1620). Recent form favours Leeds Rhinos with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for St Helens. The margin model predicts Leeds Rhinos by 4.8 points with a combined total of 36.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model, H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Leeds Rhinos to Win @1.49
Lost ✗
Edge
+2.5%
Line / Spread
Leeds Rhinos +4.8 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Leeds Rhinos 1-12 @3.30
Lost ✗
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 40.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Leeds Rhinos | R23W R24W R25W R26L R27L older → newer | 20.4 |
St Helens | R23W R24L R25L R26L R27W | 12.8 |
Avg Conceded
8.8
Leeds Rhinos
18.4
St Helens
Avg Margin
11.6
Leeds Rhinos
-5.6
St Helens
Run Metres
1236
Leeds Rhinos
1134
St Helens
Clean Breaks
4.0
Leeds Rhinos
1.8
St Helens
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group, higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
70%
Leeds Rhinos predicted to win by 5 points
Predicted total: 36 · Line: +4.8