# Super League Round 5 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 5 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 5 at a glance - 6 matches · 10W–14L on 24 settled picks (42% strike rate) · best value +28.3% edge ## Round 5 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | Salford Red Devils v Huddersfield Giants | Salford Red Devils | Salford Red Devils 57% | WON | | St Helens v Warrington Wolves | St Helens | St Helens 59% | LOST | | Wakefield Trinity v Hull | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 69% | LOST | | Castleford Tigers v Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons | Castleford Tigers 50% | WON | | Leeds Rhinos v Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 74% | LOST | | Hull KR v Leigh Leopards | Hull KR | Hull KR 76% | WON | ## Match-by-match ### Salford Red Devils v Huddersfield Giants Thu, 20 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · Salford Community Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Salford Red Devils 57.5% / Huddersfield Giants 42.5% - **Head to Head:** Salford Red Devils to win — model probability 57.5% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Salford Red Devils — model probability 57.5% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Salford Red Devils 1-12 — model probability 57.5% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Salford Red Devils by 4 · Predicted total: 39 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r5-salford-red-devils-v-huddersfield-giants ### St Helens v Warrington Wolves Fri, 21 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 59.4% / Warrington Wolves 40.6% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 59.4% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 59.4% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 59.4% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: St Helens by 10 · Predicted total: 37 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r5-st-helens-v-warrington-wolves ### Wakefield Trinity v Hull Fri, 21 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 69.2% / Hull 30.8% - **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 69.2% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — model probability 69.2% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 69.2% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 4 · Predicted total: 43 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r5-wakefield-trinity-v-hull ### Castleford Tigers v Catalans Dragons Sat, 22 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · The Jungle · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 49.6% / Catalans Dragons 50.4% - **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 50.4% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons — model probability 50.4% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 50.4% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 2 · Predicted total: 40 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r5-castleford-tigers-v-catalans-dragons ### Leeds Rhinos v Wigan Warriors Sat, 22 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 25.6% / Wigan Warriors 74.4% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 74.4% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 74.4% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 74.4% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 11 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r5-leeds-rhinos-v-wigan-warriors ### Hull KR v Leigh Leopards Sun, 23 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 5 Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 76.4% / Leigh Leopards 23.6% - **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 76.4% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 76.4% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 76.4% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 11 · Predicted total: 36 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r5-hull-kr-v-leigh-leopards ## Model performance (2025) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 | ## More Super League predictions - Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/4 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/4.md) - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/6 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/6.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/5 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)