# Super League Round 4 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 4 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 4 at a glance
- 6 matches · 5W–16L on 21 settled picks (24% strike rate) · best value +29.0% edge

## Round 4 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull v Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 55% | PUSH |
| St Helens v Hull KR | St Helens | St Helens 56% | LOST |
| Castleford Tigers v Salford Red Devils | Salford Red Devils | Salford Red Devils 52% | LOST |
| Catalans Dragons v Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 57% | LOST |
| Warrington Wolves v Wakefield Trinity | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 80% | LOST |
| Wigan Warriors v Huddersfield Giants | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 79% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Hull v Leigh Leopards
Thu, 06 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · MKM Stadium · Round 4
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 45.3% / Leigh Leopards 54.7%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 54.7% — result: PUSH
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 54.7% — result: PUSH
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 54.7% — result: PUSH
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 4 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r4-hull-v-leigh-leopards

### St Helens v Hull KR
Fri, 07 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 4
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 56.1% / Hull KR 43.9%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 4 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r4-st-helens-v-hull-kr

### Castleford Tigers v Salford Red Devils
Fri, 07 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · The Jungle · Round 4
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 48.2% / Salford Red Devils 51.8%
- **Head to Head:** Salford Red Devils to win — model probability 51.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Salford Red Devils — model probability 51.8% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Salford Red Devils 1-12 — model probability 51.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Salford Red Devils by 1 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r4-castleford-tigers-v-salford-red-devils

### Catalans Dragons v Leeds Rhinos
Sat, 08 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 4
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 42.5% / Leeds Rhinos 57.5%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 57.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 57.5% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 57.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 1 · Predicted total: 36
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r4-catalans-dragons-v-leeds-rhinos

### Warrington Wolves v Wakefield Trinity
Sun, 09 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 4
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 79.5% / Wakefield Trinity 20.5%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 79.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 79.5% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 79.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 10 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r4-warrington-wolves-v-wakefield-trinity

### Wigan Warriors v Huddersfield Giants
Sun, 09 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 4
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 78.7% / Huddersfield Giants 21.3%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 78.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 78.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 78.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 14 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r4-wigan-warriors-v-huddersfield-giants

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/3 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/3.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/5 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/5.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/4
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)