# Super League Round 3 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 3 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 3 at a glance
- 6 matches · 13W–11L on 24 settled picks (54% strike rate) · best value +26.2% edge

## Round 3 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull KR v Salford Red Devils | Hull KR | Hull KR 81% | WON |
| Huddersfield Giants v Hull | Huddersfield Giants | Huddersfield Giants 67% | LOST |
| Leigh Leopards v Catalans Dragons | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 81% | WON |
| Wakefield Trinity v St Helens | St Helens | St Helens 75% | WON |
| Wigan Warriors v Warrington Wolves | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 69% | WON |
| Leeds Rhinos v Castleford Tigers | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 84% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Hull KR v Salford Red Devils
Thu, 27 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 81.2% / Salford Red Devils 18.8%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 81.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 81.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 81.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 3 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r3-hull-kr-v-salford-red-devils

### Huddersfield Giants v Hull
Fri, 28 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · John Smith's Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 67.0% / Hull 33.1%
- **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 67.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants — model probability 67.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 1-12 — model probability 67.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 4 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r3-huddersfield-giants-v-hull

### Leigh Leopards v Catalans Dragons
Fri, 28 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · Progress with Unity Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 80.7% / Catalans Dragons 19.3%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 80.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 80.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 80.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 11 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r3-leigh-leopards-v-catalans-dragons

### Wakefield Trinity v St Helens
Sat, 01 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 25.3% / St Helens 74.7%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 74.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 74.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 74.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 9 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r3-wakefield-trinity-v-st-helens

### Wigan Warriors v Warrington Wolves
Sat, 01 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · Allegiant Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 69.5% / Warrington Wolves 30.5%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 69.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 69.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 69.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 11 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r3-wigan-warriors-v-warrington-wolves

### Leeds Rhinos v Castleford Tigers
Sun, 02 Mar, 11:00 am AEDT · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 3
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 83.8% / Castleford Tigers 16.2%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 83.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 83.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 83.8% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 18 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r3-leeds-rhinos-v-castleford-tigers

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/2 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/2.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/4 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/4.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/3
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)