# Super League Round 26 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 26 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 26 at a glance
- 6 matches · 11W–13L on 24 settled picks (46% strike rate) · best value +28.1% edge

## Round 26 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds Rhinos v Catalans Dragons | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 80% | LOST |
| Wigan Warriors v Castleford Tigers | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 84% | WON |
| Leigh Leopards v St Helens | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 64% | WON |
| Wakefield Trinity v Hull KR | Hull KR | Hull KR 61% | LOST |
| Hull v Warrington Wolves | Hull | Hull 62% | WON |
| Huddersfield Giants v Salford Red Devils | Huddersfield Giants | Huddersfield Giants 78% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Leeds Rhinos v Catalans Dragons
Thu, 11 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 80.0% / Catalans Dragons 20.0%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 80.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 80.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 80.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 14 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-sf-leeds-rhinos-v-catalans-dragons

### Wigan Warriors v Castleford Tigers
Fri, 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 83.9% / Castleford Tigers 16.1%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 83.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 83.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 83.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 21 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-sf-wigan-warriors-v-castleford-tigers

### Leigh Leopards v St Helens
Fri, 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · Progress with Unity Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 63.7% / St Helens 36.3%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 63.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 63.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 63.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 3 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-sf-leigh-leopards-v-st-helens

### Wakefield Trinity v Hull KR
Sat, 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 38.7% / Hull KR 61.3%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 61.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 61.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 61.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 7 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-sf-wakefield-trinity-v-hull-kr

### Hull v Warrington Wolves
Sat, 13 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 62.2% / Warrington Wolves 37.8%
- **Head to Head:** Hull to win — model probability 62.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull — model probability 62.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull 1-12 — model probability 62.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hull by 6 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-sf-hull-v-warrington-wolves

### Huddersfield Giants v Salford Red Devils
Sun, 14 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · ACCU Stadium · Round 26
Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 77.7% / Salford Red Devils 22.3%
- **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 77.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Huddersfield Giants — model probability 77.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 13-24 — model probability 77.7% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Huddersfield Giants by 16 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-sf-huddersfield-giants-v-salford-red-devils

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/25 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/25.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/27 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/27.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)