# Super League Round 23 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 23 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 23 at a glance - 6 matches · 12W–12L on 24 settled picks (50% strike rate) · best value +28.5% edge ## Round 23 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | Leeds Rhinos v Hull KR | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 64% | WON | | St Helens v Hull | St Helens | St Helens 78% | WON | | Leigh Leopards v Salford Red Devils | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 89% | WON | | Catalans Dragons v Castleford Tigers | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 64% | WON | | Huddersfield Giants v Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 67% | LOST | | Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 76% | WON | ## Match-by-match ### Leeds Rhinos v Hull KR Thu, 21 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 23 Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 64.3% / Hull KR 35.7% - **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 64.3% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 64.3% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 64.3% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 1 · Predicted total: 41 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r23-leeds-rhinos-v-hull-kr ### St Helens v Hull Fri, 22 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 23 Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 77.6% / Hull 22.4% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 77.6% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 77.6% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 77.6% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: St Helens by 7 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r23-st-helens-v-hull ### Leigh Leopards v Salford Red Devils Fri, 22 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · Progress with Unity Stadium · Round 23 Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 88.6% / Salford Red Devils 11.4% - **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 88.6% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 88.6% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 13-24 — model probability 88.6% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 20 · Predicted total: 50 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r23-leigh-leopards-v-salford-red-devils ### Catalans Dragons v Castleford Tigers Sat, 23 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 23 Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 63.8% / Castleford Tigers 36.2% - **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 63.8% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons — model probability 63.8% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 63.8% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 9 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r23-catalans-dragons-v-castleford-tigers ### Huddersfield Giants v Warrington Wolves Sun, 24 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · ACCU Stadium · Round 23 Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 32.9% / Warrington Wolves 67.1% - **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 67.1% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 67.1% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 67.1% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 2 · Predicted total: 43 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r23-huddersfield-giants-v-warrington-wolves ### Wigan Warriors v Wakefield Trinity Sun, 24 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 23 Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 75.8% / Wakefield Trinity 24.2% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 75.8% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 75.8% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 75.8% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 4 · Predicted total: 38 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r23-wigan-warriors-v-wakefield-trinity ## Model performance (2025) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 | ## More Super League predictions - Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/22 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/22.md) - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/24 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/24.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/23 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)