# Super League Round 22 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 22 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 22 at a glance
- 6 matches · 19W–5L on 24 settled picks (79% strike rate) · best value +37.4% edge

## Round 22 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrington Wolves v Catalans Dragons | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 67% | WON |
| Wigan Warriors v Hull KR | Hull KR | Hull KR 70% | WON |
| Castleford Tigers v Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 56% | WON |
| Hull v Leigh Leopards | Hull | Hull 75% | WON |
| St Helens v Huddersfield Giants | St Helens | St Helens 83% | WON |
| Salford Red Devils v Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 58% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Warrington Wolves v Catalans Dragons
Thu, 14 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 67.4% / Catalans Dragons 32.6%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 67.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 67.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 67.4% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 7 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r22-warrington-wolves-v-catalans-dragons

### Wigan Warriors v Hull KR
Fri, 15 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 30.3% / Hull KR 69.7%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 69.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 69.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 69.7% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 5 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r22-wigan-warriors-v-hull-kr

### Castleford Tigers v Leeds Rhinos
Sat, 16 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · The OneBore Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 43.6% / Leeds Rhinos 56.4%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 56.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 56.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 56.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 9 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r22-castleford-tigers-v-leeds-rhinos

### Hull v Leigh Leopards
Sat, 16 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 74.6% / Leigh Leopards 25.4%
- **Head to Head:** Hull to win — model probability 74.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull — model probability 74.6% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull 1-12 — model probability 74.6% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hull by 5 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r22-hull-v-leigh-leopards

### St Helens v Huddersfield Giants
Sun, 17 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 83.1% / Huddersfield Giants 16.9%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 83.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 83.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 83.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 12 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r22-st-helens-v-huddersfield-giants

### Salford Red Devils v Wakefield Trinity
Sun, 17 Aug, 10:00 am AEST · CANCELLED · Round 22
Alphr AI win probability: Salford Red Devils 42.3% / Wakefield Trinity 57.7%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 57.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — model probability 57.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 13-24 — model probability 57.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 14 · Predicted total: 52
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r22-salford-red-devils-v-wakefield-trinity

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/21 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/21.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/23 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/23.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)