# Super League Round 17 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 17 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 17 at a glance
- 6 matches · 10W–14L on 24 settled picks (42% strike rate) · best value +29.0% edge

## Round 17 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Castleford Tigers v Huddersfield Giants | Castleford Tigers | Castleford Tigers 65% | LOST |
| Leigh Leopards v Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 76% | LOST |
| Salford Red Devils v Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves | Warrington Wolves 55% | WON |
| Hull v St Helens | St Helens | St Helens 71% | WON |
| Wakefield Trinity v Catalans Dragons | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 79% | WON |
| Hull KR v Leeds Rhinos | Hull KR | Hull KR 74% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Castleford Tigers v Huddersfield Giants
Thu, 03 July, 10:00 am AEST · The Jungle · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 65.5% / Huddersfield Giants 34.5%
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 65.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers — model probability 65.5% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 65.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 8 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r17-castleford-tigers-v-huddersfield-giants

### Leigh Leopards v Wigan Warriors
Fri, 04 July, 10:00 am AEST · Progress with Unity Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 23.9% / Wigan Warriors 76.1%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 76.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 76.1% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 76.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 8 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r17-leigh-leopards-v-wigan-warriors

### Salford Red Devils v Warrington Wolves
Fri, 04 July, 10:00 am AEST · Salford Community Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Salford Red Devils 45.5% / Warrington Wolves 54.5%
- **Head to Head:** Warrington Wolves to win — model probability 54.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 54.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Warrington Wolves 1-12 — model probability 54.5% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 3 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r17-salford-red-devils-v-warrington-wolves

### Hull v St Helens
Sat, 05 July, 10:00 am AEST · MKM Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Hull 28.5% / St Helens 71.5%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 71.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 71.5% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 71.5% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 3 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r17-hull-v-st-helens

### Wakefield Trinity v Catalans Dragons
Sat, 05 July, 10:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 78.9% / Catalans Dragons 21.1%
- **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 78.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — model probability 78.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 78.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 12 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r17-wakefield-trinity-v-catalans-dragons

### Hull KR v Leeds Rhinos
Sun, 06 July, 10:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 17
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 73.8% / Leeds Rhinos 26.2%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 73.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 73.8% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 73.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 11 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r17-hull-kr-v-leeds-rhinos

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/16 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/16.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/18 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/18.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/17
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)