# Super League Round 16 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 16 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 16 at a glance
- 6 matches · 15W–9L on 24 settled picks (63% strike rate) · best value +32.0% edge

## Round 16 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds Rhinos v Leigh Leopards | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 68% | WON |
| Hull KR v Wakefield Trinity | Hull KR | Hull KR 76% | WON |
| Warrington Wolves v Hull | Hull | Hull 65% | LOST |
| Catalans Dragons v Huddersfield Giants | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 62% | WON |
| Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 74% | WON |
| St Helens v Salford Red Devils | St Helens | St Helens 92% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Leeds Rhinos v Leigh Leopards
Fri, 27 June, 10:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 68.2% / Leigh Leopards 31.8%
- **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 68.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 68.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 68.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 3 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r16-leeds-rhinos-v-leigh-leopards

### Hull KR v Wakefield Trinity
Fri, 27 June, 10:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 75.8% / Wakefield Trinity 24.2%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 75.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 75.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 1-12 — model probability 75.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 12 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r16-hull-kr-v-wakefield-trinity

### Warrington Wolves v Hull
Sat, 28 June, 10:00 am AEST · Halliwell Jones Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Warrington Wolves 35.1% / Hull 64.9%
- **Head to Head:** Hull to win — model probability 64.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Hull — model probability 64.9% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull 1-12 — model probability 64.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hull by 4 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r16-warrington-wolves-v-hull

### Catalans Dragons v Huddersfield Giants
Sat, 28 June, 10:00 am AEST · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 62.1% / Huddersfield Giants 37.9%
- **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 62.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons — model probability 62.1% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 62.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 6 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r16-catalans-dragons-v-huddersfield-giants

### Castleford Tigers v Wigan Warriors
Sat, 28 June, 10:00 am AEST · The Jungle · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 25.6% / Wigan Warriors 74.4%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 74.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 74.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 74.4% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 10 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r16-castleford-tigers-v-wigan-warriors

### St Helens v Salford Red Devils
Sun, 29 June, 10:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 16
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 91.8% / Salford Red Devils 8.2%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 91.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 91.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 25+ — model probability 91.8% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 25 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r16-st-helens-v-salford-red-devils

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/15 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/15.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/17 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/17.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)