# Super League Round 11 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 11 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 11 at a glance - 6 matches · 16W–8L on 24 settled picks (67% strike rate) · best value +29.0% edge ## Round 11 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | St Helens v Catalans Dragons | St Helens | St Helens 61% | WON | | Wigan Warriors v Leigh Leopards | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 68% | WON | | Leeds Rhinos v Hull | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 72% | WON | | Hull KR v Huddersfield Giants | Hull KR | Hull KR 79% | WON | | Wakefield Trinity v Warrington Wolves | Wakefield Trinity | Wakefield Trinity 68% | WON | | Castleford Tigers v Salford Red Devils | Castleford Tigers | Castleford Tigers 56% | WON | ## Match-by-match ### St Helens v Catalans Dragons Thu, 15 May, 10:00 am AEST · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 61.3% / Catalans Dragons 38.7% - **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 61.3% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 61.3% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 61.3% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: St Helens by 6 · Predicted total: 36 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r11-st-helens-v-catalans-dragons ### Wigan Warriors v Leigh Leopards Fri, 16 May, 10:00 am AEST · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 68.2% / Leigh Leopards 31.8% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 68.2% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 68.2% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 1-12 — model probability 68.2% — result: WON - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 11 · Predicted total: 46 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r11-wigan-warriors-v-leigh-leopards ### Leeds Rhinos v Hull Fri, 16 May, 10:00 am AEST · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 72.4% / Hull 27.6% - **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 72.4% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 72.4% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 13-24 — model probability 72.4% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 13 · Predicted total: 41 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r11-leeds-rhinos-v-hull ### Hull KR v Huddersfield Giants Sat, 17 May, 10:00 am AEST · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 79.4% / Huddersfield Giants 20.6% - **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 79.4% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 79.4% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Hull KR 13-24 — model probability 79.4% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 14 · Predicted total: 44 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r11-hull-kr-v-huddersfield-giants ### Wakefield Trinity v Warrington Wolves Sun, 18 May, 10:00 am AEST · The Diy Kitchens Stadium · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Wakefield Trinity 68.3% / Warrington Wolves 31.7% - **Head to Head:** Wakefield Trinity to win — model probability 68.3% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Wakefield Trinity — model probability 68.3% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Wakefield Trinity 1-12 — model probability 68.3% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Wakefield Trinity by 7 · Predicted total: 40 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r11-wakefield-trinity-v-warrington-wolves ### Castleford Tigers v Salford Red Devils Sun, 18 May, 10:00 am AEST · The Jungle · Round 11 Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 56.0% / Salford Red Devils 44.0% - **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 56.0% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers — model probability 56.0% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 13-24 — model probability 56.0% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 13 · Predicted total: 42 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r11-castleford-tigers-v-salford-red-devils ## Model performance (2025) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 | ## More Super League predictions - Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/10 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/10.md) - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/12 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/12.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/11 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)