# Super League Round 10 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI Super League predictions for Round 10 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 10 at a glance
- 6 matches · 11W–13L on 24 settled picks (46% strike rate) · best value +28.8% edge

## Round 10 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leigh Leopards v Catalans Dragons | Leigh Leopards | Leigh Leopards 53% | WON |
| Hull KR v Salford Red Devils | Hull KR | Hull KR 75% | WON |
| St Helens v Leeds Rhinos | St Helens | St Helens 64% | LOST |
| Huddersfield Giants v Hull | Hull | Hull 57% | LOST |
| Wigan Warriors v Warrington Wolves | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 81% | WON |
| Castleford Tigers v Wakefield Trinity | Castleford Tigers | Castleford Tigers 59% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Leigh Leopards v Catalans Dragons
Sat, 03 May, 10:00 am AEST · St James' Park · Round 10
Alphr AI win probability: Leigh Leopards 53.3% / Catalans Dragons 46.7%
- **Head to Head:** Leigh Leopards to win — model probability 53.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Leigh Leopards — model probability 53.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Leigh Leopards 1-12 — model probability 53.3% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Leigh Leopards by 2 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r10-leigh-leopards-v-catalans-dragons

### Hull KR v Salford Red Devils
Sat, 03 May, 10:00 am AEST · St James' Park · Round 10
Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 75.3% / Salford Red Devils 24.7%
- **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 75.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 75.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Hull KR 13-24 — model probability 75.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Hull KR by 19 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r10-hull-kr-v-salford-red-devils

### St Helens v Leeds Rhinos
Sat, 03 May, 10:00 am AEST · St James' Park · Round 10
Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 64.4% / Leeds Rhinos 35.6%
- **Head to Head:** St Helens to win — model probability 64.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 64.4% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** St Helens 1-12 — model probability 64.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: St Helens by 6 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r10-st-helens-v-leeds-rhinos

### Huddersfield Giants v Hull
Sun, 04 May, 10:00 am AEST · St James' Park · Round 10
Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 43.3% / Hull 56.7%
- **Head to Head:** Hull to win — model probability 56.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Hull — model probability 56.7% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Hull 1-12 — model probability 56.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Hull by 10 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r10-huddersfield-giants-v-hull

### Wigan Warriors v Warrington Wolves
Sun, 04 May, 10:00 am AEST · St James' Park · Round 10
Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 81.3% / Warrington Wolves 18.7%
- **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 81.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 81.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 81.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 15 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r10-wigan-warriors-v-warrington-wolves

### Castleford Tigers v Wakefield Trinity
Sun, 04 May, 10:00 am AEST · St James' Park · Round 10
Alphr AI win probability: Castleford Tigers 59.3% / Wakefield Trinity 40.7%
- **Head to Head:** Castleford Tigers to win — model probability 59.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Castleford Tigers — model probability 59.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Castleford Tigers 1-12 — model probability 59.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Castleford Tigers by 3 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r10-castleford-tigers-v-wakefield-trinity

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 |
| Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 |

## More Super League predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/9 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/9.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/11 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/11.md)
- All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/10
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)