# Super League Round 1 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr > Free AI Super League predictions for Round 1 of the 2025 season — 6 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au). ## Round 1 at a glance - 6 matches · 7W–17L on 24 settled picks (29% strike rate) · best value +29.6% edge ## Round 1 predictions | Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result | |---|---|---|---| | Wigan Warriors v Leigh Leopards | Wigan Warriors | Wigan Warriors 74% | LOST | | Hull KR v Castleford Tigers | Hull KR | Hull KR 88% | WON | | Catalans Dragons v Hull | Catalans Dragons | Catalans Dragons 71% | LOST | | Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Trinity | Leeds Rhinos | Leeds Rhinos 70% | LOST | | St Helens v Salford Red Devils | Salford Red Devils | Salford Red Devils 57% | LOST | | Huddersfield Giants v Warrington Wolves | Huddersfield Giants | Huddersfield Giants 53% | LOST | ## Match-by-match ### Wigan Warriors v Leigh Leopards Thu, 13 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · The Brick Community Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Wigan Warriors 73.8% / Leigh Leopards 26.2% - **Head to Head:** Wigan Warriors to win — model probability 73.8% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Wigan Warriors — model probability 73.8% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Wigan Warriors 13-24 — model probability 73.8% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Wigan Warriors by 14 · Predicted total: 40 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r1-wigan-warriors-v-leigh-leopards ### Hull KR v Castleford Tigers Fri, 14 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · Sewell Group Craven Park · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Hull KR 87.7% / Castleford Tigers 12.3% - **Head to Head:** Hull KR to win — model probability 87.7% — result: WON - **Line / Spread:** Hull KR — model probability 87.7% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Hull KR 13-24 — model probability 87.7% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Hull KR by 16 · Predicted total: 40 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r1-hull-kr-v-castleford-tigers ### Catalans Dragons v Hull Fri, 14 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · Stade Gilbert Brutus · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Catalans Dragons 70.7% / Hull 29.3% - **Head to Head:** Catalans Dragons to win — model probability 70.7% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Catalans Dragons — model probability 70.7% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Catalans Dragons 1-12 — model probability 70.7% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Catalans Dragons by 12 · Predicted total: 45 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r1-catalans-dragons-v-hull ### Leeds Rhinos v Wakefield Trinity Sat, 15 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · AMT Headingley Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Leeds Rhinos 70.1% / Wakefield Trinity 29.9% - **Head to Head:** Leeds Rhinos to win — model probability 70.1% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Leeds Rhinos — model probability 70.1% — result: LOST - **Margin Band:** Leeds Rhinos 1-12 — model probability 70.1% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: WON - Predicted margin: Leeds Rhinos by 7 · Predicted total: 36 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r1-leeds-rhinos-v-wakefield-trinity ### St Helens v Salford Red Devils Sat, 15 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · The BrewDog Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: St Helens 43.4% / Salford Red Devils 56.6% - **Head to Head:** Salford Red Devils to win — model probability 56.6% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** St Helens — model probability 56.6% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Salford Red Devils 1-12 — model probability 56.6% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Under — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: St Helens by 4 · Predicted total: 35 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r1-st-helens-v-salford-red-devils ### Huddersfield Giants v Warrington Wolves Sun, 16 Feb, 11:00 am AEDT · John Smith's Stadium · Round 1 Alphr AI win probability: Huddersfield Giants 53.3% / Warrington Wolves 46.7% - **Head to Head:** Huddersfield Giants to win — model probability 53.3% — result: LOST - **Line / Spread:** Warrington Wolves — model probability 53.3% — result: WON - **Margin Band:** Huddersfield Giants 1-12 — model probability 53.3% — result: LOST - **Total (Over/Under):** Over — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST - Predicted margin: Warrington Wolves by 4 · Predicted total: 41 Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2025-r1-huddersfield-giants-v-warrington-wolves ## Model performance (2025) | Model | Market | Strike rate | Record | |---|---|---|---| | Head to Head | Win/Loss | 71.1% | 118/166 | | Spread / Line | Spread | 72.3% | 120/166 | | Margin Band | Margin Band | 22.3% | 37/166 | | Over/Under | Total Score | 49.1% | 82/167 | | Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 32.6% | 392/1202 | | First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 7% | 58/825 | ## More Super League predictions - Next round: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/2 (markdown: /super-league/2025/round/2.md) - All Super League rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/super-league (markdown: /super-league.md) --- Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025/round/1 RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU). Last updated: 2026-06-20 10:12 UTC (latest tip update)